IMPLICATIONS OF PROPOSED RESEARCH:

Figure 3 provides a hypothetical scenario for the diversification of Mitthyridium both in time and space.  This hypothetical situation helps depict the potential results of the present study and their implications.  The figure assumes an accurate phylogeny, reliable time estimates for T1-T5 (as well as node times reconstructed at the population level), knowledge of biogeographic pattern and accurate island ages.  With these data, one can explore different avenues for diversification rate changes as for example:
I.  Major lineages of Mitthyridium form deeper (T1 and T2) and occur prior to the availability of particular archipelagos.
II. Dispersal events occur both east and west from Mitthyridiumís origin.
III.These dispersal events are followed by either
    a.) immediate loss of dispersability, with a subsequent diversification rate increase (suggesting that other factors besides dispersability loss influenced the heightened diversification)
    b.) dispersability loss and rate increase are coincident (suggesting a causal relationship).  Mitthyridium is expected to provide the necessary data to answer the main questions in this proposal which are here reconsidered:

1. Given the full phylogeny, what are the time estimates for each node (Figure 3)? Age estimates will rely heavily on the availability of genes of varying lambda. rbcL will resolve deeper splits in the phylogeny such as T1 and T2.  rps4 will resolve intermediate splits, like T3.  The cpDNA spacers and adk will resolve population splits occuring at T4 and within boxes (Figure 3). Extinction may safely be eliminated from the formula, such that time estimates may be made using origination alone (e.g., Sanderson, 1998);
2. how do time estimates for splitting events compare with continent and island ages? (Yet to be determined);
3. does Mitthyridium exhibit a diversification rate shift and if so, why?;
4. is this rate shift time coincident with the loss of dispersability (as provided by data on sexuality)?  Taken together these questions with the answers that follow will allow for a rigorous examination of the causes behind radiations on oceanic islands, and their consequent patterns.